Global coffee prices have fallen sharply amid rising supplies and declining demand

On May 13, 2025, global coffee prices showed a sharp decline — by 15% compared to previous values. The reasons were an increase in supplies from leading exporting countries such as Brazil and Vietnam, as well as weakening consumer demand in Europe, where economic instability continues and high inflation persists.

The sharp drop in prices is already causing concern among producers and exporters, especially in developing countries, where the coffee industry plays an important role in the economy and employment. Lower incomes can affect not only farmers, but also processing plants, logistics, and social sustainability in coffee regions.

According to analysts, a partial stabilization of the market is possible in the coming months. However, further price dynamics will largely depend on weather conditions, which directly affect yields in the leading coffee producing countries. An important role will also be played by the internal policies of the Governments of these countries aimed at supporting farmers and regulating export flows.

Experts also point to possible changes in consumer behavior, including the transition to alternative beverages and changes in the structure of demand from wholesale buyers. All this makes the prospects for the global coffee market uncertain and requires close attention from industry participants.