The International Monetary Fund has published an updated forecast for the state of the global economy for 2025. According to the fund's experts, the expected global economic growth rate will be 2.8%, which is significantly lower than the previous forecast of 3.3%. The main factors contributing to the revision were escalating trade conflicts, rising geopolitical tensions, and ongoing uncertainty in international markets.
IMF analysts stress that the global economy still faces a host of challenges, including energy instability, commodity price fluctuations and high inflation in a number of countries. In addition, continued volatility in financial markets and revised monetary policies in the world's leading economies, such as the United States, the European Union, and China, increase risks to the sustainability of the global financial system.
The report also notes that financing conditions for developing countries may worsen, limiting their access to international capital and putting additional pressure on economic recovery. In this context, countries are encouraged to remain flexible in their economic policies and continue to implement structural reforms aimed at increasing resilience to external shocks.
Despite the lower forecast, the IMF notes that there are some positive signals — in particular, improvement in indicators in certain industrial sectors and employment growth in some countries. However, in general, the organization calls for caution and coordination at the international level to reduce potential risks and maintain the stability of the global economy.
